@Ernie are you going to resolve this market?

Hmmm... V6 is interesting. Closer to the target.. but will it be close enough

I can stream the actual end resolution to keep it fair but here's what I got so far

@Ernie hmm yeah it's doing well. This could be pretty big

@Ernie should run the test before the 1st

@JackGallagher 11/20 - closer than I expected!

@JackGallagher oh I counted wrong 10/20

is this supposed to be a cdf or pdf market? ie if 12/23 resolves yes, does everything else resolve yes or no?

@JackGallagher the first month in which the claim is true resolves YES, then all others resolve NO. Multiple-Choice, Linked has to total 100%.

This type has the benefit of automatically adjusting percentages between options whenever one goes up to maintain the total. But yeah, edge cases like something coming true on the very last day of the month can make things complex.

For resolution purposes, I'm online 99% of the time, though, and will definitely keep up with mj's releases at least daily.

So do i get it right that you can generate these mosaics every day until at least 10/20 will succeed out of pure luck, and then you resolve YES, despite all the countless failures you'll get?

@a2bb mj announces when they update the model. I'll try once a day as the judge, if asked, but unless there is a reason to think it has a better chance, I'm not going to try every day