USA Gold Visa program Multimarket - USA citizenship and passport marketification!
2
12kṀ255
2028
75%
At least 1000 people have used it by mid 2028
70%
The all-in price for the normal process will be 4m USD or more for the first say 10 applicants.
69%
Something like "Gold Card" or "Gold Visa" actually happens and people can apply by mid 2026
69%
At least 100 people have used it by mid 2026
50%
At least one person actually gets a legal USA visa as a result of using this Gold Visa program by mid 2026
50%
At least 100 people have used it by mid 2026
50%
At least 1000 people have used it by mid 2028
50%
It is not or is no longer existing or being developed, as of mid 2027
50%
The all-in price for the normal process will be 4m USD or more for the first say 10 applicants.
50%
The first person to use the program will have paid 6m USD or more for it
50%
There will be someone whose entire process takes less than 6 months, who has received the visa, by mid 2027
50%
The EB-5 program will still be taking new applicants as of mid 2026, using the old investment+other requirements system
50%
Something like "Gold Card" or "Gold Visa" actually happens and people can apply by mid 2026
50%
At least one person actually gets a legal USA visa as a result of using this Gold Visa program by mid 2026
50%
It is not or is no longer existing or being developed, as of mid 2027
50%
The first person to use the program will have paid 6m USD or more for it
50%
There will be someone whose entire process takes less than 6 months, who has received the visa, by mid 2027
50%
The EB-5 program will still be taking new applicants as of mid 2026, using the old investment+other requirements system

"Have used the program"

means someone who pays the money and gets a visa at the end which allows them to enter the US. Green card equivalent, or citizenship, or residency/working visa, via the money they spend on the program. So, it's a market for citizenship with a fairly visible price, where the price is the primary means used to make transactions (rather than committees, etc.) and transactions happen quickly.

Definition of the program:

  • It has to be primarily "pay + pass screening, and you get it by default". Not some kind of "holistic application, with scholarships, bonuses, applying for financial aid to pay for it, plus money, plus tests, and/or investment, or some vector of those items" as it is now. It has to be much more like a market for visa/citizenship/right to work/passport in the US to qualify.

"Mid X year"

means end of june 30, that year, CA time.

On prices

  • If there is "normal" mode and "expedited" mode, we will use "normal mode", as long as anyone has done it.

  • Prices are all nominal, no inflation adjustment will be done

  • all-in price means the total fees paid to the gov't if someone does the process including filling in forms, etc, all themselves. If they use a consultant or expedited service, those costs don't count, as long as not doing them would still allow the process to actually happen.

On names

  • If they change the name but it's substantially the same thing, that can still count, we just reinterpret what the claim meant by "gold visa".

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