Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)
8
440Ṁ2802031
64%
He moves to another university, away from Harvard by mid 2026
57%
Will he have a child by mid 2026? Best wishes to him and his family
44%
He writes a book which appears on the nytimes bestseller list by mid 2029
33%
He joins George Mason University by mid 2026
31%
He spends at least a year overseas by mid 2029
24%
He joins Manifold and is verified by mid 2026
24%
He wins a Nobel prize by mid 2036
All end dates are June 30 of the related year. I will resolve them as the time comes.
He seems like an interesting researcher and I wanted to try out a new multi-market general interest topic idea.
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