How to create a multiple-choice market with customised initial probabilities?
Ṁ500 / 500
bounty left
Bounty goes to the first person to show me how to create a multiple-choice market with customized initial probabilities. Specifically, I want to create a market where all the initial probabilities are zero except for one special one which is 100 percent.
Currently I have to approximate this by creating the market and then trading on it to bid up the special one.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold add a way for creators to initialize binary markets at non-50% probabilities in the UI? (by July 2025)
3% chance
When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve multiple choice markets
Roland Fryer [Harvard Economist] Multiple Choice markets (many topics, many market lengths)