Destruction of any of 14 famous world historical monuments through 2031
9
97
230
2032
11%
chance

Any of these will be destroyed, lost, or stolen and no longer visible in its current (2023) location. If it's offically moved, that's okay. If they are damaged but will be repaired, that doesn't trigger YES. If the object is substantially destroyed (even if it will be "repaired" by basically rebuilding it), it still counts as YES.

- Liberty Bell
- Declaration of Independence
- Rosetta Stone
- Venus de Milo statue
- Eiffel Tower
- Leaning Tower of Pisa
- Great Pyramid of Giza
- Taj Mahal
- Mount Rushmore
- Stonehenge
- Terracotta Army
- Shroud of Turin
- Parthenon
- Statue of Liberty

i.e. if the Rosetta stone is completely smashed and replaced with a facsimile => YES

If the upper half of the Statue of Liberty is destroyed, and then it's rebuilt => Still triggers YES, it was destroyed.

If stonehenge is knocked over but restored & pushed back, that is not YES since the damage can be repaired.

If one of the stonehenge rocks is stolen or fully broken in half, it is not YES yet. But if more half of the stones are destroyed or lost, it would count as YES.

If the eiffel tower is reconstructed, even over 50%, as long as it is being restored, that does not trigger YES.

If the Taj Majal is deconstructed and rebuilt through an official process, that won't trigger YES. But, if it's deconstructed and rebuilding is not in progress after a year, that may trigger YES. If >50% of it is blown up or destroyed, even through something like water/fire/smoke damage and not complete physical destruction, that would still be YES.

If the Liberty bell were sold off to a private collector, that wouldn't trigger YES unless there were reason to think it had been subsequently destroyed.

It may be hard to resolve if the destruction is partial. I will make my best effort to use a "50% original" criteria - if the damage is >= 50% then it would trigger YES.

If the situation is unclear, there may be a delay in resolution.

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@AgenticLondoner no, I interpret the Parthenon to mean just the current remains of it at the acropolis of Athens.

They've lasted this long... Can they last 8 more years?