
By Mid 2028 people no longer believe Nagi Japan's population has a TFR over 2.5
1
1kṀ5002028
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The stats will have been questioned or revised, and any year from 2024 through mid 2027 will be judged to be below that level.
This isn't meant to exclude big families which move in. More just that a discovery of a mistake is made which invalidates the claim going forward for any year from now til 2027, judgment date mid 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Japan's TFR surpass India's by 2030?
18% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
62% chance
A country with low TFR now has high TFR through 2030
14% chance
Will Japan continue to have negative population growth every year through 2050?
67% chance
Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
12% chance
Japan's population increases YoY before 2047
30% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
Will Japan have a bigger population than Russia in 2050?
41% chance