Baseball's new rule changes are still in place at the end of the 2023 season
27
530Ṁ5915
resolved Oct 6
Resolved
YES

Major league baseball is making significant rules changes in the 2023 seasons: * pitch timer, defensive shifts, and bigger bases

https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-2023-rule-changes-pitch-timer-larger-bases-shifts

This is about whether the changes are applied through the entire 2023 regular season without being changed in a game-affecting way.

Note this doesn't cover the post-season.

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predictedYES

@StrayClimb, please resolve to YES.

@StrayClimb, please resolve to YES.

predictedYES

Things look on track for yes to me here. Anyone disagree?

predictedNO

Created this market to cover potential new changes just for the regular season

predictedNO

okay here are my proposals which I think are in line with the spirit of the original market - changing any of these results in the market resolving NO

  • changing pitch clock timing from 15/20 to some other numbers => market resolves NO

  • changing number of pickoff attempts, number of batter times per at-bat => market resolves NO

  • changes to the 8-second "ready" / alert rules batters must face

Selling my yes shares. Even though I think the rules will all substantially continue to exist, it's clear that some kind of change is coming. Less clear is whether it will satisfy the terms of this market

predictedNO

@CompmanJX3 The main term is "game-effecting". If the rules are changed from state A to state B such that the game is played differently in state B than state A, then I consider the rules to have been changed.

i.e. I mean to have a low threshold for triggering the concept that the rules have been changed. This is easier to judge, as well.

predictedNO

@CompmanJX3 I would support another market w/better rules on how to evaluate baseball changes, if you have any ideas, for the rest of the season! Also where are you seeing that commentary?

predictedNO
predictedNO

@StrayClimb it's a different article, seemed more clear that tweaks are for sure coming, but not any details as to what those tweaks are

predictedNO

Lots of discussion and already a possible implementation change in pitcher ready state enforcement

predictedNO

Seems like a bad ruling here https://youtu.be/adMJHyA8wgY. Weird situations when there's a violation but the pitch happens anyway.

predictedNO
predictedNO

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E9mwZhv5FH4 early predictions for how they will be manipulated

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