
Will I make both USApHO and the FIDE IM title before the summer of 2025?
Will I make both USApHO and the FIDE IM title before the summer of 2025?
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1kṀ76Jun 21
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IM TITLE ACHIEVEDD (ezez) edit
uh so like I have my 3 IM norms, need 2400 FIDE rating (at 2359 FIDE)
I'm self-studying hrk and that stuff, currently on chapter 9 after two months. Taking AP Phys C mechanics and e&m next year.
closes either (1) I do not make USApHO or (2) I do make USApHO and then summer is here (summer equinox)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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