According to https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf , Manifold received 1.5M USD from FTX Futures Fund as part of a seed investment. This market resolves true if either of the following occurs:

• Manifold is ordered by Civil Court to pay back the 1.5M investment or whatever cash is remaining if they have less than 1.5M cash remaining

• Manifold buys back equity owned by Alameda/FTX Futures via returning the unspent portion of the 1.5M investment

This market resolves automatically to NO if such an order or transaction has not taken place by May 31, 2023. My rationale being that they will have likely spent most of the cash by then.

Relevant links for discussion:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fraudulentconveyance.asp

Disclosure: Market creator owns equity in Manifold.