Will the U.S. be at full employment in December 2024? | Manifold

Will the U.S. be at full employment in December 2024?

Basic

9

Ṁ230

Jan 1

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Full employment is when the number of job openings exceeds the number of unemployed.

Will judge by this FRED graph: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1n1L2

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@traders I made a related market: https://manifold.markets/jb456/which-us-industry-sectors-will-have

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 45% order

You should move the resolution date to Feb, as job openings data will not be available in December on the Fred graph.

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