Will Manifold add loans (or a similar feature to incentivize long-term markets) back?

Ṁ100Ṁ2.4k

resolved Sep 14

Resolved

YES

ALL

This question resolves to Yes if Manifold adds loans or another feature to incentivize long-term markets back before the end of the year, no otherwise. Currently there is no incentive to bet on long-term markets other than the greater fool theory of investing, so their results are likely to be highly unreliable.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ19
2		Ṁ17
3		Ṁ12
4		Ṁ11
5		Ṁ6

People are also trading

Will Manifold create a system facilitating (and enforcing) player to player loans by EOY 2030

Sort by:

I resolved this because we added loans weeks ago and as this user was banned, they were unlikely to return and resolve their market.

Seems like it's going to be up to Manifold staff to resolve markets by banned users. @ian any plans being formulated?

@ScottLawrence Hey! So technically he can still resolve markets but if he doesn’t do so soon we’ll resolve it manually - we’re building the tools to do so for a number of abandoned markets.

@ian Any updates?

predictedYES

I think it's time to resolve this market!

@akrasiac Deleted

@EnopoletusHarding Thank God for the greater fool theory of investing.

@Gurkenglas Deleted.

Resolvable, i think

People are also trading

Will Manifold create a system facilitating (and enforcing) player to player loans by EOY 2030

11% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

People are also trading

Related questions