Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?
Basic
39
Ṁ43802032
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves to Yes if any Democratic state (defined as a state that voted for the Democratic presidential nominee) legalizes school shootings by the end of 2032. It resolves to No if no such state does.
If a state legalizes school shootings for a certain demographic group (say, Blacks), this question will resolve to PROB by that group's share of school shootings in that state.
Legalization will be defined as a ban on criminal penalties.
For context, see here:
https://twitter.com/lwoodhouse/status/1530222620288770048
May 31, 3:35pm: *nominee in the last election prior to legalization
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00