Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?
39
275
563
2032
2%
chance
This question resolves to Yes if any Democratic state (defined as a state that voted for the Democratic presidential nominee) legalizes school shootings by the end of 2032. It resolves to No if no such state does. If a state legalizes school shootings for a certain demographic group (say, Blacks), this question will resolve to PROB by that group's share of school shootings in that state. Legalization will be defined as a ban on criminal penalties. For context, see here: https://twitter.com/lwoodhouse/status/1530222620288770048 May 31, 3:35pm: *nominee in the last election prior to legalization
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So we have the "greater fool theory of investing" going on here.
bought Ṁ8 of NO
NYTimes circa 2031: “The white supremacist roots of criminalizing shootings of color”