MANIFOLD
What will my chess elo rating be at the end of the year?
26
แน€400แน€3.8k
resolved Dec 30
100%90%
100-300
6%
301-500
0.7%
501-700
0.5%
701-900
0.4%
901-1100
0.3%
1101-1300
0.2%
1301-1500
0.2%
1501-1700
0.2%
1701-1900
0.2%
1901-2100
0.2%
2101-2300
0.2%
2301-2500
0.2%
2501-2700
0.2%
2701-2900
0.2%
2901-3100
0.2%Other

I was bad at chess when I was in elementary school (but I didn't study theory), but over the past couple weeks I have become interested in Levy Rozman's videos and am considering buying his book.

  • Update 2025-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Resolution Criteria:

    • Measurement Method: The ELO rating will be determined by checking with a variety of computer programs.

    • Insufficient Games Clause: If not enough games are played, the outcome will count as an ELO rating between 100 and 300.

  • Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The rating will be determined by the chess.com rating at the end of the year.

  • Update 2025-12-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Rapid rating on chess.com will be used for resolution.

  • Update 2025-12-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve the market in the next couple days rather than waiting until the original close date of December 31, 2025.

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I almost lost on time, but won via stalemate. I need to practice checks and checkmates if I am to advance further:

https://www.chess.com/game/147295372182

@EnopoletusHarding This is a game I really need to study to practice rook and pawn endgames; I think if I had enough knowledge of chess theory I could have won it:

https://www.chess.com/game/147298896984

@EnopoletusHarding I won this one almost by accident; I really do need to study endgames:

https://www.chess.com/game/147300995846

I'm not planning to play any more games for the next couple days, so will resolve.

@EnopoletusHarding The best endgame book is silmans complete endgames. That being said, I think you mostly need to see hanging pieces, yours and opponent's. I would suggest tactics and just playing more. You're playing rapid - you have the time to look at every piece before you move & check if it's under attack

I assume your Rapid rating will count, because most of your games are in that category?

@4fa Sure; why not?

Try not to hang pieces, and keep their point values in mind.

@CraigDemel In the last match you didn't take their queen when you had a chance, and then hung your rook. So I would watch for things like that. At 100, you don't have to look for grand strategies.

Now I'm down to 441.

@EnopoletusHarding Now down to 355.

@EnopoletusHarding Now down to 288.

@EnopoletusHarding Now down to 101, mostly due to losing on time:

https://www.chess.com/member/eharding_2000

Nevertheless, I'm seeing progress.

@EnopoletusHarding Now it's up to 149.

It says I'm 564; not sure how it's calculated:

https://www.chess.com/member/eharding_2000

OK; I have started playing chess games.

opened a แน€55 NO at 1.0% order

@EnopoletusHarding So what will count in the end? The rating on chess.com?

@4fa Yes.

@EnopoletusHarding

Are your games on chess.com reflective of your current ability? Were you fooling around? trying new openings? Cheating? (It's ok, it's against bots, I'm just trying to judge your ability)

@FergusArgyll They're reflective of my current ability; I haven't yet read the Rozman book. I would say I was fooling around; there is no cheating.

filled a แน€100 NO at 2% order

@EnopoletusHarding Ok, can I suggest; once you feel comfortable, play rated games on chess.com or lichess, and we'll use that as your rating? (Pick one, or we can use the average of the 2. It's always better to clarify early...). The various programs that claim to give you a rating based on puzzles or whatnot are deeply flawed...

Good luck!

I have made a chess.com account; I currently have 400 elo:

https://www.chess.com/member/eharding_2000

I am reading the Rozman book; it is pretty good.

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