Richard Hanania posed the question if we'll see a partisan gap around Ozempic: https://x.com/RichardHanania/status/1842283808890175877
This will resolve YES if during any point in the next 5 years we'll get any data that shows a significant difference in attitude towards Ozempic based on party affiliation. The measure of "significant" and how we capture the attitude is somewhat subjective, so I won't be betting in this market.
If a survey asked a question like "would you ever consider taking Ozempic?", "Is Ozempic an acceptable form of weightloss?" or even "Do you think Ozempic is safe?" (COVID vaccine repeat) and the difference by party is >= 30%, I'd see this as resolved. The core is that the topic of Ozempic has to become politicized. It does not matter which side feels better/worse about Ozempic. What matters is a significant difference in attitude.
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3.00@HarrisonDorn I won't do the survey. It will have to be data by Pew or some other established entity like it. If nobody of repute does a study or poll on this, I will assume that that's because it's not controversial enough yet.