
Will go be solved before 2040?
35
1kṀ33542039
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional on humanity surviving until 2040, will go be solved before then?
Close date updated to 2039-12-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
49% chance
In what year will go be solved?
2052
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will file transfer over the internet be solved before 2040?
58% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
20% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
26% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
17% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
46% chance
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
70% chance
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance
Sort by:
Go is exptime-complete, so this seems unlikely to be possible.
@MartinRandall Score maximization, or equivalently, what komi is necessary for White to win.
Tromp-Taylor or any common ruleset.
@MartinRandall There are more than a googolplex of possible go games on a 19x19 board. I know, most of them don't need to be considered, but remaining search space is still more than enormous.
@MartinRandall The alternative is that you're basically testing a given komi to see which side wins.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
49% chance
In what year will go be solved?
2052
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will file transfer over the internet be solved before 2040?
58% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
20% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
26% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
17% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
46% chance
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
70% chance
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance