Will the 2025 Giro d'Italia (men's) be won by a first time Grand Tour winner?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ866
Jun 2
33%
chance

The 2025 Giro d'Italia starts on 9 May 2025 and concludes on 1 June 2025.

If the race crowns a general classification (GC) champion, we will consider the past history for that rider. If they have NEVER won the GC at a Grand Tour (Tour de France, Giro d'Italia, Vuelta a Espana), then this market resolves Yes.

If the winner has won a Grand Tour GC in the past, or if something else happens and there is no winner, this market resolves No.

The 'winner' will be based on the rider awarded the trophy at the podium presentation at the conclusion of the final stage. If there is no podium presentation but there is an announcement of the winner, this resolves based on the first person announced to be the winner. Changes after the final winner is announced (e.g. late disqualification) will not change the result of this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I should probably be holding No (#Roglic2025), but so far I'm holding Yes. The Giro seems like a race where chaos can just show up at any time.

Here are some active Grand Tour winners:

Tadej Pogacar

Primoz Roglic

Jonas Vingegaard

Remco Evenepoel

Jai Hindley

Egan Bernal

Tao Geoghegan Hart

Richard Carapaz

Simon Yates

Geraint THomas

Sepp Kuss

.....

Nairo Quintana

Chris Froome

@Eliza Here are some riders some random online website believes will start in the 2025 Giro d'Italia. I am separating out the ones from the above list, and the ones who are not on it:

Have won a grand tour:

Primoz Roglic

Richard Carapaz

Nairo Quintana

Simon Yates

Jai Hindley

Have not won a grand tour:

Adam Yates

Juan Ayuso

Mikel Landa

Romain Bardet

Pello Bilbao

Antonio Tiberi

David Gaudu

Daniel Felipe Martinez

Wilco Kelderman

Derek Gee

Wout Poels

Max Poole

Isaac Del Toro

Rafal Majka

Luke Plapp

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules