In AT LEAST how many more Grand Sumo Tournaments (basho) will Terunofuji participate in at least one match? (after 2023)
Basic
5
Ṁ14k
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
YES
1
Resolved
YES
2
Resolved
YES
3
Resolved
YES
4
Resolved
YES
5
Resolved
NO
6
Resolved
NO
7
Resolved
NO
8

This is a CUMULATIVE probability market.

Terunofuji must enter the ring in the tournament for a match. If the opponent does not enter (fusen), it still counts.

You bet any number up if you think he will participate in AT LEAST that many. So if you think he will participate in exactly 3, you should bet Yes on 1, 2, and 3.

If you think he will participate in exactly 0, bet No on every option.

Resolves Yes to any number as soon as he participates in that tournament. All other answers resolve No when he retires.

The first eligible tournament will be January 2024.

I will add more answers on request or if the largest answer seems quite likely.

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bought Ṁ150 NO

Pretty good run! I think the answer is 5, Hatsu 2024, Haru 2024, Natsu 2024, Nagoya 2024, Hatsu 2025

@Tripping seems correct to me.

Lets go teru

@Tripping Sadly he does not look well to my eyes.

bought Ṁ50 NO

I think we've seen the last of him.

If Kirishima gets elevated in January, do you think Terunofuji will bow out immediately?

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