MANIFOLD
In AT LEAST how many more Grand Sumo Tournaments (basho) will Terunofuji participate in at least one match? (after 2023)
5
แน€250แน€14k
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
YES
1
Resolved
YES
2
Resolved
YES
3
Resolved
YES
4
Resolved
YES
5
Resolved
NO
6
Resolved
NO
7
Resolved
NO
8

This is a CUMULATIVE probability market.

Terunofuji must enter the ring in the tournament for a match. If the opponent does not enter (fusen), it still counts.

You bet any number up if you think he will participate in AT LEAST that many. So if you think he will participate in exactly 3, you should bet Yes on 1, 2, and 3.

If you think he will participate in exactly 0, bet No on every option.

Resolves Yes to any number as soon as he participates in that tournament. All other answers resolve No when he retires.

The first eligible tournament will be January 2024.

I will add more answers on request or if the largest answer seems quite likely.

Market context
Sports
Japan
Sumo
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1แน€36
2แน€18
3แน€13
4แน€5

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought แน€150 NO

Pretty good run! I think the answer is 5, Hatsu 2024, Haru 2024, Natsu 2024, Nagoya 2024, Hatsu 2025

@Tripping seems correct to me.

Lets go teru

@Tripping Sadly he does not look well to my eyes.

bought แน€50 NO

I think we've seen the last of him.

If Kirishima gets elevated in January, do you think Terunofuji will bow out immediately?

People are also trading

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy