In AT LEAST how many more Grand Sumo Tournaments (basho) will Terunofuji participate in at least one match? (after 2023)
Sports•Japan•Sumo
4
41
Ṁ230
2031
61%
3
28%
4
3%
5
3%
6
Resolved
YES
1
Resolved
YES
2

This is a CUMULATIVE probability market.

Terunofuji must enter the ring in the tournament for a match. If the opponent does not enter (fusen), it still counts.

You bet any number up if you think he will participate in AT LEAST that many. So if you think he will participate in exactly 3, you should bet Yes on 1, 2, and 3.

If you think he will participate in exactly 0, bet No on every option.

Resolves Yes to any number as soon as he participates in that tournament. All other answers resolve No when he retires.

The first eligible tournament will be January 2024.

I will add more answers on request or if the largest answer seems quite likely.

Get Ṁ200 play money
2 Comments
4 Holders
35 Trades
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bought Ṁ50 3 NO

I think we've seen the last of him.

bought Ṁ10 of 1 YES

If Kirishima gets elevated in January, do you think Terunofuji will bow out immediately?

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