8
55
210
2025
6%
chance

Copied from SirCryptomind, who resolved his original market N/A.

Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2025?

Resolution/Rules

  • If a bill becomes law before 2025 that has the effect of raising the top federal capital gains tax rate on net long-term capital gains to be strictly greater than 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

About

  • People are placing bets on the likelihood of a tax increase, as the administration seeks to raise revenue and address income inequality. A capital gains tax hike could have a significant impact on investors and the stock market, making it a closely watched bet.

[Resolves the same as this market on Kalshi]

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@traders It looks like SirCryptomind reopened the original version of this question.

Since it already pledges to resolve the same as a Kalshi market, there is no creator oversight needed.

I don't see any particular benefit in resolving this N/A immediately.

It is probably now a "duplicate", but the rules on the site about what are and are not duplicates seem to be less than crystal clear. I'm going to mark it unsubsidized for right now but if you disagree we can try to figure out what to do.

Backstory: This market was originally created by SirCryptomind as a copy of a Kalshi market. I was sad to see it resolved N/A so I created a new copy of it.

I actually think this market would be better in a format like "In which year will there be a Capital Gains increase?" with multiple year options available.