Will any major news outlet discredit an election's results due to use of LLMs in 2024?
Basic
9
Ṁ113Jan 1
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll take an article published by any of the below outlets, for any country and any election in the world in the world by end of year 2024. An opinion article doesn't count, nor anything that would be considered user-submitted, like comments or "reader response" sections. I'm looking for something like an article written by staff writers where their conclusion is overwhelmingly supporting the idea that a specific election was "stolen" or otherwise illegitimate due to a successful(?) misinformation or malinformation campaign that utilized LLMs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who denies the result of the 2024 election?
Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?
35% chance
Will anyone be indicted for using an LLM to interfere in the 2024 election?
14% chance
Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?
61% chance
Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?
23% chance
In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?
55% chance
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
44% chance
Will a paper falsified (or containing false data generated) by a LLM tool be published in an accredited journal in 2024?
68% chance
Will a major social media platform be accused of influencing the 2024 U.S. presidential election outcome?
33% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election result be disputed?
4% chance