Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 1.6 total or higher?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ22
9999
17%
2026-3025
16%
3026-4025
16%
4026-5025
51%
Other

1.6 on Sagan's logarithmic scale, i.e. about a billion times more than in the 1970s; total energy used across all inhabited locations.

Market context
Space exploration
Aliens
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 1.3 total or higher?
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 0.9 total or higher?
Conditional on humanity reaching Kardashev stage 2, what will be the primary source of energy when it does?
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
25% chance
By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
29% chance
Will K2-18b be generally agreed to harbor alien life by 2027?
5% chance
By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
10% chance
Will basedbeffjezos be alive to see humanity become a kardashev level one civilization
26% chance
Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?
2% chance
Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
5% chance