Will Legal Gender cease to exist in the US before 2060?

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2059

34%

chance

ALL

Resolves as Yes if gender is no longer indicated on legal documents such as US passport or driving license, nor recorded by administrations, but only used by some institutions on a declarative basis (in effect, gender would be treated like race/ethnicity or sexual orientation currenly is in 2023). Resolves as Yes immediately as soon as implemented.

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in effect, gender would be treated like race/ethnicity or sexual orientation currenly is in 2023

So, as the basis of covert discrimination?

This question does not express or imply any political view, nor do I wish to support or oppose such an outcome or any other outcome.

To me the market should be 99%: why would governments continue to control a characteristics which has no legal consequence and can be changed relatively easily?

Is that should be in the normative or descriptive sense

Purely descriptive. I believe that this is going to happen but I express no opinion if this is a good or bad thing.

@ElBaltringo Status quo bias is strong, and legal gender is very Lindy :) If society takes on a different view I'd guess 60 years, not 30. If there is no push to change a policy I have no reason to expect it will be.