Will Anthropic's lawsuit against the Pentagon be settled out of court before August 1, 2026?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ142Jul 31
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before August 1 2026, Anthropic and the Pentagon (or the U.S. government, on behalf of the Department of Defense) reach a formal, out-of-court settlement agreement to resolve the ongoing legal dispute regarding the "supply chain risk" designation or related directives. The market will resolve to "No" otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?
5% chance
Will Pentagon reverse course on Anthropic before September 2, 2026 deadline?
72% chance
Will Anthropic go bankrupt or be dissolved as a result of a copyright case by the end of 2027?
2% chance
What will happen between Anthropic and the Pentagon?
Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk and OpenAI announce a settlement in their federal lawsuit before July 1, 2026?
1% chance
Who will join Anthropic by end of 2026?
Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026?
55% chance
Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon supply-chain designation by June 2026?
30% chance
Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1, 2026?
59% chance