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MANIFOLD
Will Pentagon reverse course on Anthropic before September 2, 2026 deadline?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ77
Sep 1
54%
chance

The March 6, 2026 DoW internal memo gave senior Pentagon leadership and military commanders a 180-day deadline - till September 2, 2026 - to remove all of Anthropic’s AI products from their systems.

This market resolves YES if Pentagon reverses course before the deadline and NO if Anthropic products are gone from the Pentagon when deadline comes. Limited exceptions are not enough for a YES if the overall prohibition still stands. If Pentagon flip-flops and reverses the decision and then reinstates it, still counts as a YES, once there was a genuine reversal (as opposed to e.g. plans to reverse that have not ever been fully enacted).

Will resolve on the consensus from credible reporting.

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