MANIFOLD
Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ296
Oct 1
5%
chance

Resolves YES if the Ninth Circuit or Supreme Court overturns or stays Judge Rita Lin's March 26 preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon's supply chain risk designation of Anthropic. Resolves NO if the injunction remains in effect through September 30, 2026.

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