
Will Catnee's dominance of AI risk last? Will this market get any traders besides me? Will this blatent attempt to make short term profits work? Tune in next time on Manifold Markets!
The Market in question:
If the displayed value of the above market ever reaches 20% before market close and after the creation of this market, then this market resolves YES. If otherwise, this market resolves NO
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ830 | |
2 | Ṁ288 | |
3 | Ṁ240 | |
4 | Ṁ111 | |
5 | Ṁ75 |


Almost all the limit orders have been canceled on the referenced market. Anyone with ~7000 mana can push that market to 20% And make a nice profit on this market.




@eclair4151 6,000-7,000 or so mana of limit orders, but bets at 20% are bets at 5:1 odds, so it takes 5X that amount to break them.

I don't know what I was thinking when I bought no. Sometimes I really wish I could talk to myself in the past.


@galaga the market has to pass through 20% for a yes resolution in this market. It doesn't matter from above or below. given that it is above 20% right now it has to go down to reach 20%



Same market but 10%:
https://manifold.markets/DylanSlagh/will-the-will-ai-wipe-out-humanity?r=RHlsYW5TbGFnaA



























