Will Sam Hughes (qntm) win a Hugo Award this year?
13
270Ṁ4252resolved Oct 24
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will qntm, a.k.a. Sam Hughes, win a Hugo award in any category this year? The story Lena is most likely to be nominated/win, but any work by qntm will count. Winning associated awards, such as The Lodestar Award or The Astounding Award will not resolve this market YES; a Worldcon special award will not resolve this YES; winning an 'extra' Hugo Award (a one-off award that does not fall into one of the regular categories) would resolve this market YES.
More info on the Hugos here:
https://www.thehugoawards.org/hugo-faq/
Updates might be found here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ174 | |
| 2 | Ṁ25 | |
| 3 | Ṁ18 | |
| 4 | Ṁ15 | |
| 5 | Ṁ10 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Sam Hughes (qntm) win a Hugo Award by end 2026
31% chance
Which novel will win a Hugo award in 2025
Which novella will win a Hugo award in 2025
Which short story will win a Hugo award in 2025
Which novelette will win a Hugo award in 2025
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
28% chance
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
15% chance
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
68% chance
Will Patrick Hsu win a nobel prize
20% chance
Will Patrick Hsu (@pdhsu) win a Nobel Prize by 2060?
31% chance