Will at least two new companies enter the top 10 list of publicly traded US companies by the end of June, 2023?
54
274
แน€950
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES

As of today, https://companiesmarketcap.com/ lists Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Tesla, UnitedHealth, Johnson & Johnson, Visa, and Exxon Mobil as having the largest market capitalization of the publically traded US companies. Will the list at https://companiesmarketcap.com/usa/largest-companies-in-the-usa-by-market-cap/ have at least two new members in the top 10 on June 30th, 2023?

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predicted YES

@Duncn resolves YES
NVIDIA on #5, Meta of #8, while Exxon Mobil dropped to #12 and Johnson & Johnson dropped to #13

Should have used "at" rather than "by" if you mean exactly June 30th and not any time on or before June 30th. The google chatbot market should have made you aware, if you saw that.

sold แน€623 of YES

@SavioMak Yeah, title says "by", description says "on". I assume we defer to the description.

@LucaMasters I have no position in this market so I don't care that much. I agree that resolving based on description is the best move here.

predicted YES

@SavioMak Can confirm, I will resolve based on the state of the list on June 30th, 2023.

bought แน€1,000 of YES

Goodbye UnitedHealth, hello Saudi Aramco!

Current list is Apple, Microsoft, Saudi Aramco, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Berkshire Hathaway, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Visa.

predicted YES

@LucaMasters lol, not the US lousy obviously.

bought แน€500 of YES

As of right now, we have two new members of the top ten: NVidia and Meta. Here's hoping it lasts.

"New members", I assume means "are in the top ten as of June 30 and weren't one of the top ten listed in the description". e.g.:

Walmart (#11) goes to #10 => counts.

Exxon (#10) drops to #11 in January and then back up to #10 by June 30: doesn't count.

General Electric (current #79, but former #1) goes to #10: counts.

Chevron (#16) buys Exxon Mobil (#10): Chevron counts

Amazon (#3) buys Visa (#9): Visamazon does not count, but Walmart (#11 prior to the merger, but now sitting pretty at #10) count.

companiesmarketcap.com forgets to renew their domain, I buy it and put up a fake list with two new top-ten companies: doesn't count.

A more realistic possibility: The Justice Department forces Amazon to split into three companies: Amazon, AWS, and Whole Foods: AWS and Whole Foods count iff they remain in the top ten, Amazon does not? What if it renames to "Amazon Shopping" due to the split?

@LucaMasters I believe I agree with all of those examples. Renames will be dealt with on a case by case basis, but a simple renaming would not count (e.g., Facebook re-branding as Meta does not count).

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