Will at least two new companies be in the top 10 list of publicly traded US companies at the end of 2023?
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αΉ€250
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES

As of today, https://companiesmarketcap.com/ lists Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Tesla, UnitedHealth, Johnson & Johnson, Visa, and Exxon Mobil as having the largest market capitalization of the publically traded US companies. Will the list at https://companiesmarketcap.com/usa/largest-companies-in-the-usa-by-market-cap/ have at least two new members in the top 10 on December 31, 2023?

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predicted YES

3 New companies: Nvidia, Meta and Eli Lily, with no more trading hours for this to change so I think it can be resolved. @Duncn

bought αΉ€30 of YES

So it is at the end of 2023 not by the end of 2023.

5th 7th and 10 are currently new. 10th easily displaced. 5th could stay in top 10. 7th Meta would have to lose $315b of $782b market capitalisation over 40%. Yes there are other ways 8th 9th 11th and 12th could gain value instead but that seems more difficult or it could be a combination of gains for 8 9 11 12 and some loss for Meta. Whatever way it is big valuation changes which seem pretty unlikely. Also, if there are big valuation changes more likely to be new entrants rather than a return to the old list.

predicted YES

2 and a bit months later, need Meta to lose at least 45% of market capitalisation or something equivalent like Meta loses 20% while Visa and Exxon Mobil gain over 50%.

Such swings in value in these high value companies don't normally happen easily or quickly and there is now only 2.5 months left to do it.

@Duncn Is it meant to be 'at end of 2023' or 'by the end of 2023' as title says? If latter this can/should be resolved yes.

predicted YES

@ChristopherRandles It is at the end, matching the market description. I will edit the title to be more clear.

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