Trump imposes 100% tariffs on Chinese imports by Oct 19, 2025?
16
100Ṁ1804
resolved Oct 20
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if by Sunday, Oct 19, 2025, 11:59 pm Eastern there is an official White House/Presidential proclamation, USTR announcement, or Federal Register notice formally imposing 100% ad‑valorem tariffs on any category of Chinese imports (not just a threat or proposal). Acceptable evidence: a signed presidential proclamation, a USTR press release/notice, or a Federal Register entry specifying 100% tariffs. A speech, social post, or interview without a formal instrument does not count. Resolves NO otherwise.

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Was the intent of this market to count 'proposed but not enacted' tarrifs?

That feels like something that should have been made clearer...

I think I should have put the word "any" in the title, as in "any 100% tariff". I wasn't really expecting such a narrow category to be targeted.

@Dulaman It's the fact that these tariffs are not going to be implemented until November 9, 2025 that I have an issue with, especially given the "(not just a threat or proposal)" in the description.

I didn't have a huge position so I'm not deeply upset, but also...

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer formal imposition and implementation are different things in this context

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer But yeah I empathise with your position. These tariff market titles seem tricky to get right

@Dulaman Maybe explain what _you_ mean by 'impose' vs 'propose' vs 'implement' in the description...

It's clearly a unique definition wrt to tariffs (in America?) vs say, other taxes or sanctions or court rulings..

@traders gpt-5-pro is telling me to resolve this market YES

I am planning on doing so unless you have other things to point out

bought Ṁ80 NO

@Dulaman What's the source of the federal register link?

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Dulaman Yeah seems like a clear YES

@Jasonb I don't really understand the wording of the federal register document. Is this a really narrow category? Either way this does appear to meet the question's criteria.

@Dulaman I'm certainly no expert but it sounds like it's at least 100% on some very specific cargo/ship related equipment things

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