Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2030, at 11:59 PM ET, either:

1. The American Conservative Union (ACU / CPAC) formally dissolves, files for bankruptcy liquidation (Chapter 7), or publicly announces that the organization has ceased operations permanently, or

2. The annual flagship CPAC conference in the United States is officially cancelled indefinitely or announced as permanently discontinued, and no primary U.S. CPAC conference takes place for two consecutive calendar years before 2030.

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, Politico, The Washington Post) or direct official statements from the American Conservative Union / CPAC. Temporary postponements, rebranding of the event while operating under the same or successor organization, or leadership changes do not trigger a YES resolution.

Background

The Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), launched in 1974 and hosted by the American Conservative Union (founded in 1964), is one of the largest and most prominent annual gatherings of conservative activists and political figures in the United States. In recent years, CPAC expanded internationally (holding events in Brazil, Hungary, Japan, and elsewhere) while facing controversies, internal disputes, and legal challenges involving leadership, notably ACU Chairman Matt Schlapp.