Will a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine be a direct result of the meeting in Alaska between Trump and Putin?
3
100Ṁ66Aug 21
27%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They meet this weekend. Trump ‘feels very good’ that good things will happen from the meeting
I will resolve the question yes if a ceasefire (almost total halt in hostilities between the two parties) has started by the end of the period. If a ceasefire seems close, ie it appears to be in final negotiations at the end of the period, I may extend the question by 2 days
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump give Putin part of Alaska in the upcoming Friday meeting?
2% chance
Will Trump strike a deal this Friday where Putin can keep the part of Ukraine he concurred?
30% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
62% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
27% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
27% chance
Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
83% chance
Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)
19% chance
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
51% chance
If Russia secures a substantively pro-Russian ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, what will be the causes? [add responses]
If Ukraine and Russia agree to a ceasefire, will it last the agreed duration?
39% chance