Which companies will 10x their daily active users in 2023?
16
700Ṁ3675
resolved Jan 8
100%46%
OpenAI
9%Other
12%
Manifold
0.0%
Mastodon
0.2%
vrchat
0.2%
lesswrong
0.2%
logseq
0.2%
farcaster
0.0%
Neeva
33%
Other

Will resolve to yes for any company listed where reputable sources show a 10x in daily active users from December 2022 to December 2023. Company must have had at least 500 daily active users as of December 2022.

Technology
New Year's Resolutions 2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ71
2Ṁ51
3Ṁ19
4Ṁ18
5Ṁ12

People are also trading

Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?
28% chance
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
27% chance
Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Base will surpass 1 million daily active users before September 1, 2025
55% chance
10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
43% chance
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Will Twitter have at least 400 million monthly active users in 2030?
59% chance
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
26% chance
🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
16% chance
Sort by:

Seems like this market could be filled with hundreds of startups that happened to be successful over the next year. Would probably be more interesting if there was a requirement of at least X users to start with.

Or another idea is if you only allowed new companies to be submitted early on.

@jack Good point. Going to change description to require at least 900 DAUs as of December 2022

@DismalScientist Decided on 500 actually

People are also trading

Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?
28% chance
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
27% chance
Will any social media platform surpass Facebook in terms of global active users by the end of 2025?
47% chance
Base will surpass 1 million daily active users before September 1, 2025
55% chance
10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
43% chance
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Will Twitter have at least 400 million monthly active users in 2030?
59% chance
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
26% chance
🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
16% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules