Which companies will 10x their daily active users in 2023?
16
91
resolved Jan 8
12%
Manifold
46%
OpenAI
0.0%
Mastodon
0.2%
vrchat
0.2%
lesswrong
0.2%
logseq
0.2%
farcaster
0.0%
Neeva
33%
Other

Will resolve to yes for any company listed where reputable sources show a 10x in daily active users from December 2022 to December 2023. Company must have had at least 500 daily active users as of December 2022.

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Seems like this market could be filled with hundreds of startups that happened to be successful over the next year. Would probably be more interesting if there was a requirement of at least X users to start with.

Or another idea is if you only allowed new companies to be submitted early on.

bought Ṁ10 of Manifold

@jack Good point. Going to change description to require at least 900 DAUs as of December 2022

@DismalScientist Decided on 500 actually