Which companies will 10x their daily active users in 2023?
10
closes 2024
DismalScientist avatarManifold
62%
DismalScientist avatarOpenAI
31%

Will resolve to yes for any company listed where reputable sources show a 10x in daily active users from December 2022 to December 2023. Company must have had at least 500 daily active users as of December 2022.

Sort by:
DismalScientist avatar
DismalScientist
jack avatar
Jack

Seems like this market could be filled with hundreds of startups that happened to be successful over the next year. Would probably be more interesting if there was a requirement of at least X users to start with.

jack avatar
Jack

Or another idea is if you only allowed new companies to be submitted early on.

DismalScientist avatar
DismalScientistbought Ṁ10 of Manifold

@jack Good point. Going to change description to require at least 900 DAUs as of December 2022

DismalScientist avatar
DismalScientist

@DismalScientist Decided on 500 actually

Related markets

Which companies will 100x their daily active users in 2023?
Will Bluesky have at least at least 10% of Twitter's then Daily Active Users in 2023?8%
Will Substack Notes cannibalize at least 10% of Twitter's Daily Active Users in 2023?15%
Will Meta's new decentralized text social media app have >10M DAUs in two years?36%
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?30%
Will Meta's metaverse have ≥100 million monthly active users on Dec 31, 2033?20%
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?16%
Will the Matrix network report >130 million visible users in 2023?55%
Will a blockchain-based social network have a million users by June 2023?0%
Will Meta's new decentralized text social media app have >100k DAUs in two years?70%
Will Meta Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023?20%
Will 40% of users who were referred by @BTE in 2022 still be active six months after signup?8%
Will the Mastodon social network report >3 million "last 6 months active users" in 2023?66%
Will Meta's new decentralized text social media app have >1M DAUs in two years?51%
Will +10% of (12 cohorts of) Y-Combinator startups be marked as inactive by April 2024?6%
How many "New users" will Ge Effektivt get from organic search in 2023?26K
Will 40% of users who were referred by @Austin in 2022 still be active six months after signup?6%
Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025?37%
Will Meta's twitter alternative have a couple of "popular" users before end of 2024?44%
By what year will 1B+ people be active in the Metaverse2052