What will be the number of U.S. federal employees at the end of 2028 as a percentage of the number in 2023? | Manifold

What will be the number of U.S. federal employees at the end of 2028 as a percentage of the number in 2023?

Basic

1

Ṁ40

2029

34%

< 25

34%

25 - 50

34%

51 - 70

66%

71 - 80

66%

81 - 90

34%

91 - 95

34%

96 - 100

34%

> 100

I'll use this site to resolve: https://www.statista.com/statistics/204535/number-of-governmental-employees-in-the-us/#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20around%2019.58%20million,million%20people%20in%20that%20year.

For 2023 there are 2.93 million employees that are listed.

If, at the end of 2028, there are 2.80 million employees, this would result in 2.80/2.93 95.5% which would fall under 91-95% (note that the 95 is inclusive and the next value starts at 96)

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It's possible to make "linked multiple choice" markets where all the options add up to 100%. Maybe it would be worth cancelling this market and making one of those? I think only one option can resolve YES, so the other kind of market seems more appropriate imo.

@Fion I don't see that option.

@DevonFritz it's been a while since I actually created a question so they've changed the names a bit, but I believe the one you want is called "multiple choice". I think the one you've got here is called "set"

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