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MANIFOLD
Will I improve significantly next year?
19
á¹€100á¹€649
Jul 1
30%
chance

Each of the following count as a point. If I get at least 4 points, this resolves yes.

  • >=Blue MOP

  • Black MOP

  • USA RMM Team

  • USA IMO Team (worth 2 points)

  • USACO Platinum

  • USACO Camp

  • USA IOI Team (worth 2 points)

  • USAPhO Qualification

  • USAPhO Camp

  • USA Physics team (worth 1434 points)

  • get a girlfriend 💀 (worth 2 points)

I don't think I'm gonna try to do physics so those are unlikely. Currently I have

  • Green MOP

  • USACO Gold

  • 1 point off USAPhO 2 years ago and 4 points off last year.

  • no girlfriend

  • Update 2026-03-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Black MOP is worth 2 points total: 1 point for ">=Blue MOP" and 1 point for "Black MOP".

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update: my chances at black mop are pretty solid (unless i get docked on usamo), and my chances at IMO are not very solid (they're pretty low, see https://manifold.markets/jatloe/who-will-qualify-for-the-2026-usa-i), so this is likely just whether or not I get a girlfriend.

My chances at are girlfriend are not very high I think, I've been single for >2 years now and I'm not that close to getting a girlfriend i think

@DeadRhino if you make black does that count as one or two points

@Incompleteusern 2 points cuz 1 for ">=blue mop" and 1 for "black mop"

bought á¹€50 YES

did you make RMM or get a girlfriend

@ryanP2zd current update is:

I did not make RMM

I did not take any USACO contests or f=ma officially

I do not have a girlfriend (yet)

sold á¹€41 YES

@DeadRhino dang

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