Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will China attempt to seize Scarborough Shoal by end of May
20
Ṁ1kṀ3.8k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO

please request clarifications I will not bet

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ179
2Ṁ69
3Ṁ33
4Ṁ15
5Ṁ9
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 NO

@DavidFWatson may is over, there has been no major update here, and it can resolve NO.

(they've always occupied part of it, but in the comments there was clarification that they need to "seize it significantly more than they already have"—a quick news search reveals that there's been bluster but no substantive developments there)

@TheAllMemeingEye That’s the kind of clarification question I was looking for!

Let’s say, seize it significantly more than they already have. I’ll clarify more if folks have specific questions (once I have time to do more research)

@DavidFWatson can you give some concrete examples of what would trigger a YES resolution?