This market predicts how many countries will impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods in response to the new tariffs announced by President Trump.
The market will resolve based on the number of countries that have officially announced and implemented tariffs specifically in response to the U.S. tariffs by June 30, 2025.
References:
Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering how to count the European Union. The question is whether to count the EU as a single entity or as its individual member countries.
Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for the purpose of this market's resolution:
The European Union (EU) will be counted as its individual member countries, not as a single entity.
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@traders this looks like it will depend if we count the EU as a single country (which it technically isn't but in response is fairly unitary. Does anyone have strong opinions about this?
@Dauur my betting took this into account. That a coordenated response between multiple EU countries is likely
@Dauur Do we count Ireland and the US as single country (they speak the same language)?
Do we count Canada and Italy as single country (both in NATO)?
Do we count the US and Peru as a single country (same continent)?
Do we count North Korea and South Korea as a single country (same last name)?