This market predicts how many countries will impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods in response to the new tariffs announced by President Trump.

The market will resolve based on the number of countries that have officially announced and implemented tariffs specifically in response to the U.S. tariffs by June 30, 2025.

References:

• https://www.scmp.com/news/us/diplomacy/article/3304971/trump-announced-34-reciprocal-tariffs-chinese-goods-part-liberation-day-package

• https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/

• Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is considering how to count the European Union. The question is whether to count the EU as a single entity or as its individual member countries.

• Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for the purpose of this market's resolution:

  • The European Union (EU) will be counted as its individual member countries, not as a single entity.