Both Kalshi and Polymarket have markets on whether the USA will confirm aliens exist in 2025.

10/13: About 8% on Kalshi.
10/13: About 3% on Polymarket.

This market resolves YES if both:
- Kalshi resolves to YES,
- and Polymarket does not resolve YES (Resolves NO, cancelled, voided, ....)
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

Resolution sources: Polymarket and Kalshi.
If a determination cannot be made by Jan 5 2026, this market resolves to NO.

Poster may bet in this market.