Will Bob Menendez
9
255Ṁ430
resolved Jan 17
100%47%
Lose next election?
52%
Resign?
0.8%
Be re-elected from prison?

Bob Menendez is the Democrat from NJ who was caught with gold bars in his house.

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This should not have been resolved, he has not lost an election.

I'm confused. What election did he lose?

How does this resolve if he

  1. is reelected but not from prison (because eg he's not convicted)

  2. doesn't resign but decides not to run for reelection

@Conflux I'm thinking he will resign when they try to expel him. But as of now it looks to me like he will be expelled. I might be wrong though

@DankBrandon42 Could you just state how the market will resolve in each scenario?

@DankBrandon42 Are you still active to provide input?

@Conflux What is your input on this one? Extend it? Or leave as is and wait?

@SirCryptomind I think default here would be extend, then resolve to the correct option if one of the options is correct; otherwise N/A

@Conflux So if I am seeing right, his election is this year? So extend until election this year?

@SirCryptomind Yeah sure

How does this resolve if he dies in his current term?

@AndrewG I'll make new one about how he died

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