When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
6
1.1kṀ6662050
17%
Before 2027
25%
Before 2028
34%
Before 2030
36%
Before 2032
39%
Before 2035
43%
Before 2040
46%
Before 2045
54%
Before 2050
Resolved
N/AThe government is not going to fall. It may transform in the future, but Libyan style collapse is not expected.
Resolves based on the date when Wikipedia says the Islamic republic of Iran ends.
May also resolve if there are substantial internal reforms that do not end the government but transform it substantially away from its current form. There must be an entry in the "Formation" section of Iran's Wikipedia page for this to count:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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