What will be Joe Biden's chances of winning the election on election day? | Manifold

What will be Joe Biden's chances of winning the election on election day?

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resolved Jul 21

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This market closes right before the first polls open on election day.

Resolves to the value of this market at 5am EST as the polls in Vermont are scheduled to open then.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Derivative Markets

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Pretty big arbitrage with the underlying market

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