
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
9
Ṁ1kṀ6902032
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Predicted on all in podcast on 8th November.
@ 27:14
Section starts at 25:55
I'll take it that he's referring to the presidential elections of 2028 or 2032.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Chamath prediction: Will David Sacks run for governor of California by 2026?
1% chance
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
What Margin will democrats win the Californias 22nd District House election by?
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Which New York House Districts will the Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
How many Democratic Representatives will CA elect in 2026?
Dems lose California or New York by 2028?
4% chance
Will Democrats lose the house in the 2026 midterm elections?
10% chance
Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?
96% chance