
Australia house of representatives after next election
14
Ṁ445Ṁ659resolved Aug 27
62%60%
Labor
29%31%
Liberal / national
5%4%
Teals
3%3%Other
1%1.9%
Greens
Resolves to the share of seats each group has.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australian_House_of_Representatives
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ31 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ2 |
Sort by:
Regardless of the contested seat, the numbers round to the same thing.
The rounded numbers added to 101% so I took 1% from labor as it makes the smallest difference to the payout of Labor yes holders.
I've check chat GPTs numbers and calculations.
📊 Scenario A: Bradfield stays Teal (current declared result)
Group Seats % of 150 Rounded %
Labor 94 62.7% 63%
Liberal/National 43 28.7% 29%
Greens 1 0.7% 1%
Teals 8 5.3% 5%
Other 4 2.7% 3%
Total 150 100%
📊 Scenario B: Bradfield flips Liberal
Group Seats % of 150 Rounded %
Labor 94 62.7% 63%
Liberal/National 44 29.3% 29%
Greens 1 0.7% 1%
Teals 7 4.7% 5%
Other 4 2.7% 3%
Total 150 100%
People are also trading
Related questions
Australian Liberal Party Leader On January 1st 2027
Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia after the next federal election?
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
44% chance
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Will One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
21% chance
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
51% chance
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
51% chance
Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
51% chance
What combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?