Will there be a serious crash caused by a fully automated vehicle in 2023?
14
290Ṁ914
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO

Some definition - "serious crash" means a crash that causes either a hospitalization or death. By "fully automated vehicle" I mean a vehicle that is equipped with a Level 3 or above ADS and the ADS is engaged at the time - e.g. Waymo, Cruise or automated truck--not Tesla. The crash has to be caused by the ADS for it to pay. Ok what do you think?

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I'm assuming the Oct 2 dragging doesn't count? Given that it was initially caused by a human, and that this market started afterwards

Seems unlikely for Waymo/Cruise (if they still ran) to be at-fault in a crash. They have faster reaction times than any human. What they do tend to do though is indirectly create crashes. For example, hard braking results in a driver behind crashing into them at-fault. Or if they're clearing an intersection and see a fast-approaching speeding driver they tend to slam on the brakes too, deer-in-headlights style, resulting in getting T-boned, but again, speeding human driver at fault legally speaking.

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