Will effective personality simulation be available by 2030?
15
32
Ṁ816Ṁ270
2030
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
We'll define personality simulation as effective enough if an employee can ask a manager's simulation a question and generally rely on the answer. E.g. are companies using it in management, are consultants and lawyers using it for preliminary interactions, do companies use personality simulation for R&D before using focus groups with real people
More here: https://every.to/chain-of-thought/llms-can-simulate-personality-that-s-a-big-deal
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@Toby96 I think it would be pretty easy to tell the simulation to not make very consequential decisions
Related questions
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
42% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
46% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2030? 🧠🕵️
51% chance
Will there be an AI CEO by 2040?
67% chance
Will there be a very reliable way of reading human thoughts by the end of 2025?🧠🕵️
24% chance
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2035?
28% chance
Will AI enable a successful conversation between a human and a member of a non-human species by the end of 2030?
71% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2032?
38% chance
Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
42% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
66% chance