Will effective personality simulation be available by 2030?
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32
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2030
57%
chance

We'll define personality simulation as effective enough if an employee can ask a manager's simulation a question and generally rely on the answer. E.g. are companies using it in management, are consultants and lawyers using it for preliminary interactions, do companies use personality simulation for R&D before using focus groups with real people

More here: https://every.to/chain-of-thought/llms-can-simulate-personality-that-s-a-big-deal

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I'm going with no. Who's liable when the employee asks GptManager, the manager decides something, shit hits the fan and the manager absolves themselves of responsibility? No amount of sophisticated language model is solving this problem any time soon.

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@Toby96 I think it would be pretty easy to tell the simulation to not make very consequential decisions