This market resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on Friday, July 4th, the U.S. Senate Passes Trump's tax and spending legislation which is commonly referred to as the "One Big Beautiful Bill"

Resolves NO if the Senate fails to pass the bill by 11:59 PM on July 4th.

• Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that "One Big Beautiful Bill" is being used synonymously with a budget reconciliation bill.