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This resolves "Yes". Thanks for participating 🇺🇸📜📈.

And that's the game! May we have the day we voted for.

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Trump signs tax and spending cut bill at White House July 4 ceremony

https://ground.news/article/trump-signs-big-tax-cut-and-spending-bill-into-law-in-july-fourth-ceremony?utm_source=mobile-app&utm_medium=newsroom-share

(Resolves YES)

Edit: Or we wait for the sources of truth in the description to update.

@Quroe thanks noting. Sorry for the slight delay. Just to remain faithful to the criteria as written I waited until Wikipedians added a source for the bill already being signed. I intentionally worded it as going through Wikipedia originally so I wouldn't have to be an arbiter if any arguments about amendments or name changes (which as long as the page moved too, would have still counted. There was brief discussion about this), but meant couldn't use a reliable source directly.

The sources in wiki article were still written from before bill was actually signed, but now someone added a picture that seems sufficient to meet the criteria.

@Anonculously That's the way to do it! I applaud you waiting for the market criteria to trigger.

Trump's schedule today:

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Roll Call Factba.se - Donald J. Trump's Public Schedule https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/

It seems like there's a whole ceremony for this. I was holding out on Musk wringing out some last minute political capital play in opposition to the bill's EV car stuff, but I'm starting to lose faith in that happening.

Maybe I'll start pumping more into NO if the ceremony ends without a signature.

@Quroe
So at white house 12:45 to 21:45 and ceremony planned for after 16:00 So the schedule does not prevent expected signing ceremony? Or did you reach a different conclusion?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-to-sign-one-big-beautiful-bill-ceremony-today-watch-live-2025-07-04/

@ChristopherRandles I think I read it as he signs the bill at some point between 12:50pm and 5pm. If it's not signed in that time frame, I'd probably start railing off NO orders more aggressively.

@ChristopherRandles Wait, I'm reading things wrong. The items aren't in chronological order, and the AM and PM signs are screwing with me... Hm...

@Quroe Yet another reason to do like europe and use 24h time

@MartinSundhaug I'm getting all turned around by it yeah. Okay, so it's actually chronological from top to bottom, first to last.

5pm still looks like the cutoff. I think Trump wants the pageantry of signing his pet bill and will try to make a big show of it, more so than normal legislation.

He wants to do it during the picnic with a freaking jet flyover. https://youtu.be/NWBL7MCbj0g?si=F7rcNPwNxz5e20kt

Remember to say Thank You. We are so cooked.

Let's trade on vibes. Up for 1 hour. Let's go.

Some tragic cuts to public science funding in this bill. ~%43 reduction in grant funding for biomedical research :/. Similar cuts across public research, NASA, and NOAA. I'd understand these cuts if the bill actually cut the deficit.... but :/

@DanW It’s ridiculous

Papa Bezos needs a 3rd yacht. 🤑

TRUMP WILL VETO. IT’S NOT OVER TIL IT’S OVER.

@Traveel Trump will thank the people pushing his agenda for their good job and they will literally address him as Daddy. Only vetos if he has a vision of an even worse bill to pass

I've won crazier bets. I'll hop on board.

Kalshi steady at 93-95%

I don’t really have a stake in the market, but what do you guys think?

This man is a machine.

https://x.com/deitaone/status/1940761669329670620?s=46

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecncbill/reconcilliation-bill-becoming-law

https://polymarket.com/event/reconciliation-bill-passed-by?tid=1751550531959