Will US residents be able to order Starbucks delivery using one of these major AI interfaces before 2026?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ10kṀ1.9k

resolved Feb 2

Resolved

N/A

ALL

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

I will resolve based on the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, it is possible for US residents to order Starbucks delivery via a generative AI released by one of the following companies: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple.

Metaculus will generally rely on reporting from credible sources to resolve the question, though may test prospective systems to assess whether they have the required capabilities.

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@traders please note that this has been annulled from the Metaculus side for ambiguous resolution criteria. Still waiting to hear from Manifold Authority on how they want to handle it.

@WalterMartin Removed it from the group. Feel free to make any clarifications you feel are appropriate or N/A if you think it is too ambiguous to be saved (there is a reason why I didn't sweepify this one).