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Will Pope Francis die in office?
82
Ṁ1kṀ22k
resolved Apr 23
Resolved
YES
Pope Benedict was the first pope in 6 centuries to resign from office. Will Pope Francis choose to continue Benedict's trend, or will he die in office?
Market context
Religion
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@mods Time to resolve.

@DELETECLUB resolves no

@VincentVega I mean "yes" of course. Sorry

..

https://manifold.markets/MikeH/will-pope-francis-abdicate arbitrage ?

Will Pope Francis abdicate?
19% chance. Resolves YES if Pope Francis abdicates or otherwise resigns the office of Pope. Resolves NO if Pope Francis dies in office or is otherwise removed other than due to his own volition.
bought Ṁ50 YES

How does this resolve if it is found out that he never became Pope in the first place (that is Benedict XVI is still the Pope)?

I would resolve it as N/A, if backed by credible news sources.

predictedYES
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-62360114

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