Under what circumstances will the next current head of state to die meet their fate?
8
Ṁ680Ṁ180resolved Jun 1
100%41%
Old age/Natural causes
8%Other
0.3%
Assassination (random individual/group)
0.3%
Assassination (coup)
0.3%
Warfare
0.3%
Suicide
32%
Illness
12%
Accident
0.5%
Animal or sea creature by blunt force, laceration, venom or constriction
0.5%
Spontaneous Human Combustion
5%
Undisclosed or Uncertain
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ86 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 | |
| 3 | Ṁ17 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the next president die while in office?
15% chance
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
15% chance
From what continent will the next assassinated head of state and/or government come from?
Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Which of these presidents will die first?
Which living current/former US president will die first?
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
19% chance
Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?
65% chance