My strategy is top sneaky.

why is 132 at 95%

@traders the last insider has been chosen, and all of the insiders were made aware of who each other are, but not of the numbers they know.

@traders One random person has been told the second digit of the code

@traders . Based off comments/ trades so far, I think the traders that upped 3 are likely lying and don't have info. I think @100Anonymous is likely lying but there's slightly more reason to believe him then the 3s traders. As a result i think the first digit is slightly more likely to be 1 than 3 and less likely to be 2. Does anyone else have thoughts? I think the longer we go without another claim the more credence those 2 claims have

So I am the insider, and I know that the first number is one.

@100Anonymous What's your goal here not trading on that info then? Someone else already traded up first number 3

@Zeolite I have a deal to not trade on it in exchange for double of the potential profit.

@100Anonymous I dont know that I trust you entirely but I'll buy a bit then. If nothing else and you know nothing it should still have value up to 18%. I dont think the people on 3 have knowledge otherwise they'd be trading it higher or not doing anything and maybe commenting

@traders One random person has been told the first digit of the code

Also, the first day that someone gets the first code is actually the second day of the market

@Cvill there is no way for a non-insider to play, and two insiders can already figure out the goal. Can you create a version of this with more codes? I'll sponsor the liquidity if you want to; just tell me the amount.

@100Anonymous Couldn't a non-insider lie and make mana that way? The insiders also aren't explicitly incentivized to just trade their info immediately into the market. Getting a read on how others trade on the market or comment is a skill and trading based on whether you believe someone is lying or not is something a non insider can profit off of. I think there's a lot of game theory here even if you don't have insider info.

@100Anonymous Zeolite is right about how non-insiders can still make mana. Also, making this but for, let’s say, 10 people getting info would increase the number of codes a lot and would probably be nearly impossible to do. I can design a system where everyone can get info to figure out the code, but it would be different rules and different information on what they get, e.g., instead of getting a number, they get something like “the 3rd number is odd."

@Zeolite I think the only problem is that a non-insider can't lie to other insiders as they know who each other are but don't know what info they have

@Cvill Thats true. Insiders can also lie to each other or not give their info at all so it might be that the insiders all have wrong info at some point though. They obviously will know its a 50/50 split but that might be it. Non insiders can lie to other non insiders though. They can also attempt to influence how the insiders play.

@Zeolite Yeah, it would be interesting to see what happens. What I did notice is that there is a small 48-hour window where people can claim to hold information even if they don’t, since the insiders don’t know who each other are until the fourth day of the market.